CESifo Newsletter 05 | 2026
Most Read
Masculinity Around the World
Ralph De Haas, Victoria Baranov, Ieda Matavelli, and Pauline Grosjean

Men dominate economic hierarchies, yet they suffer disproportionately from poor health and lower well-being. A recently conducted survey of 125,000 people in 70 countries reveals that adherence to traditional masculine norms can explain this paradox. While traditional masculine behaviors predict higher earnings and longer work hours, they also lead to severe health risks, mental health struggles, and greater support for strongman authoritarianism.
Other Top Downloads
Upcoming Events
CES Munich Lectures in Economics 2026: "Turning Abundance into Scarcity: Regulation, Housing Costs and Infrastructure Failures" by Edward Glaeser
LMU Munich (Große Aula) | 19 November 2026 | 18:00 – 20:00 CET/CEST

Can our governments deliver more services without spending more money? This year’s Distinguished CES Fellow Edward Glaeser will focus on three areas of public sector dysfunction: the regulation of new housing, public sector procurement, and maintenance of existing infrastructure.
Munich Economic Debates 2026
Chamber of Industry and Commerce for Munich and Upper Bavaria, Munich
“Innovation for the Next Generation” by Rafael Laguna de la Vera
21 September 2026 | 18:00 – 19:30 CET/CEST


Germany urgently needs breakthrough innovations – and innovators. These could help address the challenges of demographic change while strengthening Germany’s long-term competitiveness. This lecture will seek to identify the traits that set innovators apart and what works best in supporting them.

The event will be held in German and
livestreamed.
“Shaping the Future – How Does Policy Work for the Younger Generation?” by Emilie Höslinger, Max Lucks, Carmen Wegge, and Florian Dorn
Chamber of Industry an
d Commerce for Munich and Upper Bavaria, Munich
19 October 2026 | 18:00 – 19:30 CET/CEST


The younger generation is entering the future facing a host of major challenges. At the same time, they are tasked with restoring Germany's status as a dynamic economic player and a leading political force in Europe. How can reforms and investments be steered to take the interests of young people into account?

The event will be held in German and
livestreamed.
Area Conference on Behavioral Economics
CESifo, Munich | 23 – 24 October 2026
 
Scientific organizers: Ernst Fehr (University of Zurich) and Klaus Schmidt (LMU Munich).

Keynote speakers: Supreet Kaur (UC Berkley) and Philipp Strack (Yale).
 
CESifo-CEMIR Junior Workshop on Migration Research
CESifo, Munich | 28 – 29 October 2026
 
Scientific committee: Joop Adema, Lasha Chargaziia, Yvonne Giesing, Panu Poutvaara, and Tuuli Tähtinen (ifo Institute).

Keynote speaker: Anna Piil Damm (Aarhus University).
 
CESifo Workshop on Cities, Housing and Infrastructure
CESifo, Munich | 20 – 21 November 2026
 
Scientific organizers: Davide Cantoni (LMU Munich), Oliver Falck (ifo Institute and LMU Munich), and Ed Glaeser (Harvard University).

The workshop is held in conjunction with the 2026 Munich Lectures in Economics.
20th Workshop on Political Economy
ifo Dresden | 20 – 21 November 2026

Submit
your paper by 27 September 2026 23:59 CET/CEST.
EconPol Forum 03/2026: “Dealing with Demographics – The Policy Challenges of an Aging Europe”
 
The third annual issue of EconPol Forum examines the impact of population aging across economic, political, and social domains. The issue focuses on women and the disproportionate burden that aging (and pension reform) place on them and explores how aging affects attitudes towards war and peace, patience, and investment decisions.

→ Demography will also take center stage at EconPol’s 2026 Annual Conference on November 9 in Brussels, alongside another groundbreaking change – the one brought about by artificial intelligence. Registration will open shortly. Among the speakers already confirmed are:
- Stijn Broecke, Senior Economist at OECD;

- Horst J. Kayser, CEO Factory Automation at Siemens;

- Stefan Olsson, Deputy Director-General in DG Employment, Social Affairs and Inclusion at the European Commission.
For more details and program updates please visit the conference website.
Policy Brief 86: “Drivers, Costs, and Coping – An Expert View on Economic Uncertainty”

Uncertainty has emerged as a defining feature of our time amid spreading conflicts, erratic trade policies, and disruptive technological change. Far from being merely an issue of perception, uncertainty has a tangible economic impact: according to international economic experts, uncertainty holds back GDP growth by an average of 0.8 percentage points.
 
Lisandra Flach: Mapping International Trade Exposure to Critical Maritime Chokepoints

The ongoing conflict in Iran has renewed attention on the Strait of Hormuz as a critical maritime chokepoint. Lisandra Flach, director of the ifo Center for International Economics, shows how other chokepoints, notably the Suez Canal and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, are of equal – if not greater – importance to the European economy. The Houthi militias are certainly aware of this.
 
Clemens Fuest: Risky Public Debt – A Policy Shift Is Urgently Needed

The recent surge in long-term government bond yields has reignited the debate over the fiscal sustainability of current public debt trajectories in several advanced economies. For larger EU countries, managing the growing “fiscal squeeze” resulting from the debt burden has become imperative. How? ifo President Clemens Fuest lays out the options.
Upcoming Publications
Policy Brief 87: “Rethinking EU Tariffs on China: Objectives and Trade-Offs”

Additional EU tariffs on Chinese imports are under discussion as a response to the “China Shock 2.0”. In an era of global value chains, however, tariffs can reduce import dependencies only up to a point, while they might burden export-oriented industries without reducing trade imbalances. This new policy brief, to be published during the last week of September, outlines the trade-offs at stake.
The ifo Business Climate Index Is on a Good Run
 
Despite rising energy prices, the ifo Business Climate Index climbed to 88.8 points in August, continuing a four-month upward trend. Companies across manufacturing, services, trade, and construction reported higher satisfaction, significantly improved expectations, and a steadily declining uncertainty. Reflecting this broad recovery and brightening economic sentiment, the ifo Institute has also raised its GDP growth forecast for Germany to 1.4 percent for 2026.
Other Indicators
People
Each month, CESifo and CES host guest researchers from different parts of the world.
David Brown, University of Alberta, is visiting CESifo 5 – 10 Oct 2026

Chiara Lacava, University of Naples Federico II, is visiting CESifo 12 – 17 Oct 2026

Douglas N. Harris, Tulane University, is visiting CESifo 13 – 18 Oct 2026

Karsten Mau, Maastricht University, is visiting CESifo 19 – 24 Oct 2026

Alessandro Palma, Gran Sasso Science Institute (GSSI), is visiting CESifo 26 – 31 Oct 2026

Nicolas L. Bottan, Cornell University, is visiting CESifo 3 – 15 Nov 2026

Eric A. Hanushek, Stanford University - Hoover Institution, is visiting CESifo 15 – 21 Nov 2026

Riley Wilson, Brigham Young University, is visiting CESifo 23 – 27 November 2026

Michael J. Böhm, TU Dortmund University, is visiting CES 5 Oct – 6 Nov 2026

Hyunjae (Jay) Kang, Kyoto University, is visiting CES 5 Oct – 17 Nov 2026

Andrea Bernini, University of Houston, is visiting CES 12 – 23 Oct 2026

Daniel Bernhofen, American University, Washington, is visiting CES 12 Oct – 11 Dec 2026

Simon Scheidegger, HEC Lausanne, is visiting CES 9 – 20 Nov 2026

Mathias Klein, Sveriges Riksbank, is visiting CES 16 – 28 Nov 2026
Bulletin Board
The Bulletin Board is where CESifo network members can post news and messages regarding conferences, workshops and journals that are of interest to the research community and to all CESifo Newsletter readers. If you have anything you would like to share, please feel free to contact us at services@cesifo.de.
Call for Papers
IAAEU and Trier University 19th Workshop on Labour Economics
University of Trier | 8 – 9 April 2027
 
Special sessions on counterfactual impact evaluation jointly organized with the Competence Centre on Microeconomic Evaluation (CC-ME) of the Joint Research Centre of the European Commission.

Submit your extended abstract or full paper by November 30, 2026.
 
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